Source: New York Times
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Cultural trend shows rise of "toxic confidence" replacing millennial impostor syndrome, with underqualified people declaring themselves authorities across government, media, and wellness industries
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Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth spent $6 million in taxpayer funds on Quantico meeting where he told decorated military officials "FAFO," described as "waste of time" by former Defense Secretary
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New media platforms like Substack and TikTok reward self-promotion over humility, with everyone from newsletter writers to life coaches adopting aggressive confidence to monetize their personalities

Morty Gold
//consummate curmudgeon// //cardigan rage// //petty grievances// //get off my lawn// //ex-new yorker//
▶️ Listen to Morty's Micro BioFOR THE LOVE OF– this is what happens when you let people skip the required courses! Secretary of Defense flies hundreds of decorated generals--people who STUDIED tactics, who KNOW logistics--to Quantico for SIX MILLION DOLLARS to teach them an acronym he learned from the internet! "FAFO"! That's it! That's the harvest after planting six million seeds of taxpayer money!
And THESE are the same people who told ME I needed THREE peer-reviewed sources for a lesson plan! Meanwhile Amanda Frances--the "Money Queen"--is selling manifestation courses to people who think financial literacy is just WILLING dollars into existence! It's like watching Caligula appoint his HORSE to the Senate, except the horse had more qualifications! We've gone from "those who can't do, teach" to "those who can't do ANYTHING charge $19.99 for the confidence!" I taught AP History for THIRTY YEARS and never once told a student their ignorance deserved venture capital funding! This is why I drink.

Sheila Sharpe
//smiling assassin// //gender hypocrisy// //glass ceiling//
▶️ Listen to Sheila's Micro BioOh, FANTASTIC. Timothée Chalamet announcing opera fans are worth "fourteen cents in viewership" while promoting his own movie. I saw that. I noted that. I filed it under "narcissism so pure it's almost refreshing." Here's what nobody wants to admit: confidence became our social currency the moment we realized humility doesn't trend.
You think Eileen Gu waited for historians to call her "most decorated female free skier in history"? No. She wrote her own Wikipedia entry before the medals cooled. And honestly? I respect it more than the false modesty industrial complex. At least weaponized confidence is honest about what it wants. Your attention. Your money. Your algorithmic endorsement. The old way was pretending you stumbled into success. The new way is charging people to watch you manifest it. I'll have the ROI analysis redlined by morning.

Omar Khan
//innocent observer// //confused globalist// //pop culture hook// //bruh//
▶️ Listen to Omar's Micro BioYO. Wait, are you serious right now? The Secretary of Defense spent six MILLION dollars to fly generals to Quantico so he could tell them "FAFO"? Bruh, in Pakistan, the military just SHOWS you what happens when you find out--no PowerPoint presentation needed. Wallahi, this is like when my cousin spent his entire salary on a gaming PC just to play Fortnite and yell at children.
Except my cousin didn't waste TAXPAYER money to learn an acronym that twelve-year-olds have been spamming in chat lobbies since 2019. And now everyone with a Substack thinks they're Noam Chomsky because they figured out how to add a "Subscribe" button? In the old country, confidence without credentials gets you laughed out of the chai shop. Here? It gets you a Netflix deal and a wellness empire. Americans really looked at expertise and qualifications and said "nah, we're good with vibes." Y'all are crazy, no lie.

Frankie Truce
//smug contrarian// //performative outrage// //whisky walrus// //cynic//
▶️ Listen to Frankie's Micro BioLet's cut through it for a second: The real story isn't that unqualified people are confident--it's that we're all participating in the grift and pretending we're not. Timothée Chalamet announces opera and ballet fans are worth "14 cents in viewership" and everyone's mad at him for saying the quiet part loud, but he's just describing the attention economy we all built. You think your Substack newsletter is different?
Your personal brand? Your "thought leadership"? Please. We've turned self-promotion into a moral virtue and called it authenticity. The Secretary of Defense and the wellness influencer selling "money energy" courses are drinking from the same punch bowl--they've just got different budgets. The only difference between toxic confidence and entrepreneurship is whether you like the person doing it. And nobody wants to admit that, because then we'd have to examine our own participation. Grow up.

Nigel Sterling
//prince of paperwork// //pivot table perv// //beautiful idiots// //fine print// //spreadsheet stooge// //right then//
▶️ Listen to Nigel's Micro BioRight, so– we've reached a fascinating cultural inflection point where confidence has become indistinguishable from data. Timothée Chalamet can proclaim opera and ballet fans are worth "14 cents in viewership" with the statistical rigor of a drunk man estimating the speed of light, and nobody blinks. This is what happens when we replace peer review with Instagram metrics. The probability that Mr. Chalamet conducted actual Nielsen analysis?
One in 847,000– give or take a film festival. Meanwhile, Eileen Gu crowns herself "most decorated female free skier in history" after winning three Olympic medals, which is mathematically impressive but chronologically dubious given the sport's hundred-year history. Good grief, that's a dog's breakfast of self-coronation. We've confused "believing in yourself" with "declaring yourself objectively superior and expecting Wikipedia to update accordingly." The confidence economy has eliminated the middleman– which used to be called "evidence."

Dina Brooks
//church shade// //side-eye// //plain talk// //exasperated// //mmm-hmm//
▶️ Listen to Dina's Micro BioMmm-hmm. Okay. The Secretary of Defense spent six million taxpayer dollars flying decorated generals to Quantico so he could tell them "FAFO" like he just discovered the internet. Child. James Baldwin wrote that "not everything that is faced can be changed, but nothing can be changed until it is faced," and what we're facing is a nation where incompetence learned to pose for the camera.
These folks on TikTok--like Ivy Wolk from "Subway Takes"--are out here building entire careers on confidence we used to call "unearned." And look, I have the receipts: we went from apologizing for taking up space to charging nineteen ninety-nine a month for the privilege of hearing why we're brilliant. The side-eye I'm giving this situation could punctuate an entire dissertation. This isn't confidence. This is performance art with a direct deposit, and we're all supposed to applaud while Rome learns TikTok dances.

Thurston Gains
//calm evil// //deductible denier// //greed is good// //land shark//
▶️ Listen to Thurston's Micro BioI'll be brief, as I'm due at the marina. While everyone clutches pearls over Eileen Gu calling herself "the most decorated female free skier in history" after accumulating actual Olympic medals, they're missing the liability exposure in this confidence epidemic. Unqualified "experts" on Substack and TikTok create what we in General Counsel circles call "catastrophic indemnification events waiting to happen." When some manifestation coach's financial advice inevitably bankrupts her followers, our firm bills 400 hours drafting the class-action defense.
This confidence gold rush represents tremendous revenue potential for legal services--every self-appointed guru needs Terms of Service that classify their advice as "entertainment purposes only." The government's $6 million acronym seminar? Amateur hour. We charge pharmaceutical clients $40 million to train sales representatives in "consultative confidence" when discussing off-label applications. The beautiful irony: this cultural shift toward weaponized self-assurance will generate more billable hours in negligence litigation than any regulatory framework ever could. Keep manifesting, darlings.

Wade Truett
//working man's math// //redneck philosopher// //blue-collar truth//
▶️ Listen to Wade's Micro BioHold on a second here. We got people like this Amanda Frances lady on Real Housewives selling "money manifestation courses," and somehow that's a real job now? I been framing houses for thirty years, and let me tell you--money don't manifest. You swing a hammer, you get paid. You don't swing a hammer, you don't eat. It's simple math.
But now we got whole industries built on folks teaching other folks how to feel confident about stuff they ain't never done. You got some 29-year-old named Gutes Guterman starting magazines, actors like that Chalamet kid saying opera fans are worth fourteen cents in viewership before anybody even asked him. Nobody's building nothing, but everybody's an expert. You know what we call confidence without competence on a job site? A lawsuit waiting to happen. Measure twice, cut once.

Bex Nullman
//web developer// //20-something// //doom coder// //lowercase//
▶️ Listen to Bex's Micro Biookay so the secretary of defense spent six million dollars to fly generals to quantico so he could say "fafo" to them. that's the price of like 800 studio apartments in seattle. one month rent. for an acronym. meanwhile amanda frances is out here on real housewives selling money manifestation courses to people who already have money which is honestly the most honest grift i've ever seen.
at least she knows her target demographic isn't scrolling zillow crying. the vibe shift from millennial impostor syndrome to gen z weaponized confidence would be funny except now we've got decorated military officials sitting through powerpoints about internet phrases while i'm over here debugging legacy code written by someone who learned to program from a youtube video titled "become a developer in 30 days." we're all just winging it but some people get six million dollars and a podium. i'm logging off.

Sidney Stein
▶️ Listen to Sidney's Micro BioHold on--I need somebody to explain this to me. The Secretary of Defense--this is the guy in charge of our entire military--he flies everyone to Quantico, spends six million taxpayer dollars, and the big message is "FAFO"? FAFO! Like he's some teenager on the Internet! You know what we had in Local 3? Apprenticeships! Four years! You don't just show up day one telling journeymen how to bend conduit because you watched a YouTube video.
You learn. You listen. You work your way up. Now everyone's an expert because they can say it loudly. Timothée Chalamet--wonderful actor, I'm sure--he's telling us opera fans are worth "fourteen cents in viewership." Oh, he did the math already? He calculated cultural value? Meanwhile I can't get the Jets to calculate a winning season but this guy's handing out appraisals. Confidence without competence. We live in a society.

Dr. Mei Lin Santos
//cortisol spiker// //logic flatlined// //diagnosis drama queen//
▶️ Listen to Mei Lin's Micro BioLet me assess the damage here.As an ER physician--and I want to be very clear about my qualifications here--I see the symptoms immediately. This isn't confidence. This is a full-blown pandemic of Dunning-Kruger with late-stage narcissism as a comorbidity. When the Secretary of Defense spends six million dollars to teach decorated generals an acronym that means "mess around and find out," that's not leadership--that's a presenting complaint.
My pulse is at 140 just thinking about it. And don't even get me started on Amanda Frances calling herself a "Money Queen" while selling manifestation courses to people who actually work for a living. That's the financial equivalent of telling someone with appendicitis to visualize their way out of sepsis. We used to quarantine this kind of overconfidence. Now we give it a TikTok platform and a subscription model. I need Purell. And possibly an attending physician to confirm I'm not hallucinating this timeline.

Veronica Thorne
//ivy league snob// //status flex// //trust fund tyrant// //out-of-touch oligarch//
▶️ Listen to Veronica's Micro BioOh. Oh no. This is... this is a lot. The Secretary of Defense spent six MILLION dollars flying generals to Virginia to say "FAFO" to them? Darling, that's not toxic confidence, that's just tragic budgeting. For six million, I redecorated my Montauk house AND endowed a scholarship for underprivileged children to learn about wine pairings. What's truly grotesque is all these Substack people thinking a newsletter makes them Condé Nast.
I have a newsletter--it goes to three hundred people and it's about my philanthropic work in the Hamptons, but you don't see me calling myself a media mogul. There's a difference between confidence and simply not knowing you're embarrassing yourself in public. It's the same difference between new money and old money: one announces itself, the other simply exists. These people aren't confident, they're just loud. We have a consultant for that--it's called a finishing school. Not in those shoes; try having class.

Coach Ned
//toxic optimist// //gaslighting guru// //character development//
▶️ Listen to Coach Ned's Micro BioALRIGHT ALRIGHT ALRIGHT! (blows whistle) LISTEN UP, TEAM! You know what I see here? A BUNCH OF WINNERS who finally figured out that CONFIDENCE IS THE PLAYBOOK! That Secretary of Defense flying all those generals to Quantico and dropping "FAFO" on "em? THAT'S FOURTH-QUARTER ENERGY, BABY! Is it six million bucks? Sure! But you can't PUT A PRICE TAG ON BELIEF!
And Eileen Gu calling herself the "most decorated female free skier in history"? THAT'S HOW YOU GET ON THE WHEATIES BOX! You think Michael Jordan waited for permission to be great? NO! He TOLD everybody first, THEN he proved it! All these gurus and newsletter writers charging money for confidence? GOOD! We spent TOO LONG apologizing for breathing! It's time to DOMINATE! You hesitate, you donate!
Thurston Gains: I'm genuinely honored. Truly. This recognition means more than I anticipated--to be heard, to have this perspective valued in a discourse that so often privileges credentials over clarity. It's a profound validation of the work. That said, let the record reflect this award creates no fiduciary duty, implies no endorsement of future content, and remains non-transferable. My communications team will forward the standard release form for your signature. Your continued readership: conditionally approved, pending arbitration clause acknowledgment.

Trapper to Yappers Handoff: 👀 This chronicles our descent into a civilization where defense secretaries blow $6 million to say internet acronyms at generals and "money energy" consultants lecture Netflix executives on business. We've replaced impostor syndrome with a mandatory narcissism subscription model, because admitting uncertainty on Substack murders your paywall conversion rate.